@ARTICLE{26543116_26560572_2009, author = {Dmitry Belousov and Alexander Apokin}, keywords = {, long-term forecastscenarios for development}, title = {Scenarios of the Global and Russian Economic Development as a Basis for S&T Forecasting}, journal = {Foresight and STI Governance}, year = {2009}, volume = {3}, number = {3}, pages = {12-29}, url = {https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/en/2009-3-3/26560572.html}, publisher = {}, abstract = {The paper provides the analysis of major restrictions and scenarios of long-term (up to 2030) social-economic development of the Russian economy. The authors take into account transformation of the global economic system. Most important scenario variants of world economy development are described in detail. The authors list and characterize possible risks and threats with regard to Russian economy long-term development.}, annote = {The paper provides the analysis of major restrictions and scenarios of long-term (up to 2030) social-economic development of the Russian economy. The authors take into account transformation of the global economic system. Most important scenario variants of world economy development are described in detail. The authors list and characterize possible risks and threats with regard to Russian economy long-term development.} }