TY  - JOUR
TI  - Key Parameters of Russia's Long-Term Economic Development: A Scenario Analysis
T2  - Foresight and STI Governance
IS  - Foresight and STI Governance
KW  - foresight
KW  - scenarios for Russia's development
AB  - Today both on the national and business levels the efforts are being made to tackle two different issues: implementation of anti-crisis measures and forming the ground for a policy aimed at changing technological profile of the Russian economy. Building long-term scenarios of economic development becomes the most challenging task. The paper investigates three possible trajectories of development, based on the standard methods of economic analysis and R&D forecasting as well as unique approaches and models. The authors describe conditions and liable results of the most promising — innovation-based — scenario and characterize factors which make alternative prognoses relevant.
AU  - Dmitry Belousov
AU  - Kirill Mikhailenko
AU  - Alexander Apokin
UR  - https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/en/2010-4-1/26558036.html
PY  - 2010
SP  - 4-18
VL  - 4