Keywords
bibliometric analysis
strategic foresight
open foresight
journals
citation
How to Cite
Abstract
Corporate Foresight (СF) gains increasing research interest as an efficient decision-making tool in the face of growing market uncertainty. We carried out a bibliometric analysis of the CF literature published between 2001 and 2021. The results of bibliometric analysis propose in which journals researchers should publish their papers to obtain more citations, which to cite, which keywords to use, and which references to explore. This allows managers, researchers, and practitioners to gain in-depth knowledge of CF literature.
References
Adegbile A., Sarpong D., Meissner D. (2017) Strategic foresight for innovation management: A review and research agenda. International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management, 14(4), 1750019. (2017). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219877017500195
Amanatidou E., Butter M., Carabias V., Könnölä T., Leis M., Saritas O., Schaper-Rinkel P., van Rij V. (2012) On concepts and methods in horizon scanning: Lessons from initiating policy dialogues on emerging issues. Science and Public Policy, 39(2), 208-221. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/scipol/scs017
Amini H., Jabalameli M.S., Ramesht M.H. (2021) Development of regional foresight studies between 2000 and 2019: An overview and co-citation analysis. European Journal of Futures Research, 9(1), 1. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-021-00170-7
Andersen A.D., Andersen P.D. (2014) Innovation system foresight. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 88, 276-286. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.06.016
Ansoff H.I. (1988) The New Corporate Strategy, New York: Wiley.
Asseng S., Martre P., Maiorano A., Rötter R.P., O'Leary G.J., Fitzgerald G.J., Ewert, F. (2019) Climate change impact and adaptation for wheat protein. Global Change Biology, 25(1), 155-173. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14481
Battistella C. (2014) The organisation of Corporate Foresight: A multiple case study in the telecommunication industry. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 87, 60-79. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.10.022
Battistella C., De Toni A.F. (2011) A methodology of technological foresight: A proposal and field study. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78(6), 1029-1048. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.01.006
Bereznoy A. (2017) Corporate foresight in multinational business strategies. Foresight and STI Governance, 11(1), 9-22. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17323/2500-2597.2017.1.9.22
Boe-Lillegraven S., Monterde S. (2015) Exploring the cognitive value of technology foresight: The case of the Cisco Technology Radar. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 62-82. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.07.014
Bootz J.P. (2010) Strategic foresight and organizational learning: A survey and critical analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(9), 1588-1594. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.015
Chen C. (2005) The centrality of pivotal points in the evolution of scientific networks. Paper presented at the 10th International Conference on Intelligent User Interfaces - IUI '05, San Diego, CA, USA. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1145/1040830.1040859
Chen C. (2006) CiteSpace II: Detecting and visualizing emerging trends and transient patterns in scientific literature. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 57(3), 359-377. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/asi.20317
Chen C. (2016) CiteSpace: A Practical Guide for Mapping Scientific Literature, Hauppauge, NY: Nova Science Publishers, Inc. 978-1-53610-280-2. ISBN: 978-1-5361-0280-2
Chen C., Ibekwe-SanJuan F., Hou J. (2010) The structure and dynamics of cocitation clusters: A multiple-perspective cocitation analysis. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology, 61(7), 1386-1409. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/asi.21309
Daheim C., Uerz G. (2008) Corporate foresight in Europe: From trend based logics to open foresight. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, 20, 321-336. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09537320802000047
Darkow I.L. (2015) The involvement of middle management in strategy development - Development and implementation of a foresight-based approach. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 10-24. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.12.002
Day G.S., Schoemaker P.H.J. (2006) Peripheral Vision: Detecting the Weak Signals That Will Make or Break Your Company, Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press. ISBN: 978-1-4221-0154-4
De Jouvenel B. (2012) The Art of Conjecture, New York: Routledge.
Donthu N., Kumar S., Mukherjee D., Pandey N., Lim W.M. (2021) How to conduct a bibliometric analysis: An overview and guidelines. Journal of Business Research, 133, 285-296. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2021.04.070
Durance P., Godet M. (2010) Scenario building: Uses and abuses. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(9), 1488-1492. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.007
Egghe L. (2006) Theory and practise of the g-index. Scientometrics, 69(1), 131-152. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-006-0144-7
Ehls D., Korreck S., Jahn R., Zeng M.A., Heuschneider S., Herstatt C., Koller H., Spaeth S. (2017) Open Foresight: Exploiting Information from External Sources. SSRN Electronic Journal. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2764208
Gaggero G., Bonassi A., Dellantonio S., Pastore L., Aryadoust V., Esposito G. (2020) A Scientometric Review of Alexithymia: Mapping Thematic and Disciplinary Shifts in Half a Century of Research. Frontiers in Psychiatry. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyt.2020.611489
Georghiou L., Harper J.C., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.) (2009) The Handbook of Technology Foresight: Concepts and Practice, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.
Gershman M., Bredikhin S., Vishnevskiy K. (2016) The role of corporate foresight and technology roadmapping in companies' innovation development: The case of Russian state-owned enterprises. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 110, 187-195. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.11.018
Gibson E., Daim T., Garces E., Dabic M. (2018) Technology foresight: A bibliometric analysis to identify leading and emerging methods. Foresight and STI Governance, 12(1), 6-24. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17323/2500-2597.2018.1.6.24
Glenn J.C., Gordon T.J. (eds.) (2009) Futures Research Methodology - Version 3.0 (CD-ROM and online edition), Tokyo: United Nations University. https://www.millennium-project.org/publications-2/futures-research-methodology-version-3-0/, дата обращения 15.11.2021.
Gordon A.V., Ramic M., Rohrbeck R., Spaniol M.J. (2020) 50 Years of corporate and organizational foresight: Looking back and going forward. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 154, 119966. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2020.119966
Habegger B. (2010) Strategic foresight in public policy: Reviewing the experiences of the UK, Singapore, and the Netherlands. Futures, 42(1), 49-58. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.08.002
Hamel G., Prahalad C.K. (1994) Competing for the Future, Cambridge, MA: Harvard Business School Press. ISBN: 978-0-87584-716-0
Han J., Kang H.J., Kim M., Kwon G.H. (2020) Mapping the intellectual structure of research on surgery with mixed reality: Bibliometric network analysis (2000-2019). Journal of Biomedical Informatics, 109, 103516. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbi.2020.103516
Heger T., Boman M. (2015) Networked foresight - The case of EIT ICT Labs. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 147-164. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.02.002
Heger T., Rohrbeck R. (2012) Strategic foresight for collaborative exploration of new business fields. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(5), 819-831. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.11.003
Hines A., Gold J. (2015) An organizational futurist role for integrating foresight into corporations. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 99-111. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.04.003
Højland J., Rohrbeck R. (2018) The role of corporate foresight in exploring new markets - Evidence from 3 case studies in the BOP markets. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, 30(6), 734-746. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09537325.2017.1337887
Iden J., Methlie L.B., Christensen G.E. (2017) The nature of strategic foresight research: A systematic literature review. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 116, 87-97. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.11.002
Kononiuk A., Sacio-Szymańska A. (2015) Assessing the maturity level of foresight in Polish companies - A regional perspective. European Journal of Futures Research, 3(1), 23. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40309-015-0082-9
Kononiuk A., Sacio-Szymańska A., Gáspár J. (2017) How do companies envisage the future? Functional foresight approaches. Engineering Management in Production and Services, 9(4), 21-33. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/emj-2017-0028
Latzer M. (2009) Information and communication technology innovations: Radical and disruptive?, New Media and Society, 11(4), 599-619. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1461444809102964
Liu B., Asseng S., Müller C., Ewert F., Elliott J., Lobell D. B., … Zhu Y. (2016). Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods. Nature Climate Change, 6(12), 1130-1136. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3115
Martinet A.C. (2010) Strategic planning, strategic management, strategic foresight: The seminal work of H. Igor Ansoff. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(9), 1485-1487. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.024
Milshina Y., Vishnevskiy K. (2018) Potentials of collaborative foresight for SMEs. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, 30(6), 701-717. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09537325.2017.1406906
Mishra S.B., Alok S. (2017) Handbook of Research Methodology: A Compendium for Scholars & Researchers, Schaumburg, IL: eBooks2go Incorporated. ISBN: 978-1-5457-0340-3
Muhlroth C., Grottke M. (2020) Artificial Intelligence in Innovation: How to Spot Emerging Trends and Technologies. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 69(2), 493-510. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/TEM.2020.2989214
Naik P.A., Raman K., Winer R.S. (2005) Planning marketing-mix strategies in the presence of interaction effects. Marketing Science, 24(1), 25-34. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.1040.0083
Paliokaite A., Pačesa N. (2015) The relationship between organisational foresight and organisational ambidexterity. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 165-181. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.03.004
Porter M.E. (2008) Competitive Advantage. Creating and Sustaining Superior Performance, New York: Free Press. ISBN: 978-0-684-84146-5
Ratcliffe J.S. (2006) Challenges for corporate foresight: Towards strategic prospective through scenario thinking. Foresight, 8(1), 39-54. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/14636680610647138
Rhisiart M., Miller R., Brooks S. (2015) Learning to use the future: Developing foresight capabilities through scenario processes. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 124-133. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.015
Rohrbeck R. (2011) Corporate Foresight: Towards a Maturity Model for the Future Orientation of a Firm (1st ed.), Heidelberg: Physica-Verlarg. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-2626-5
Rohrbeck R. (2012) Exploring value creation from corporate-foresight activities. Futures, 44(5), 440-452. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2012.03.006
Rohrbeck R., Battistella C., Huizingh E. (2015) Corporate foresight: An emerging field with a rich tradition. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 1-9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.11.002
Rohrbeck R., Gemünden H.G. (2009) Making your R&D future proof: The roles of corporate foresight in innovation management. Paper presented at the PICMET'09 Conference, 2-6 August 2009, Portland, OR, USA. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/PICMET.2009.5262043
Rohrbeck R., Gemünden H.G. (2011) Corporate foresight: Its three roles in enhancing the innovation capacity of a firm. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78(2), 231-243. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2010.06.019
Rohrbeck R., Kum M.E. (2018) Corporate foresight and its impact on firm performance: A longitudinal analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 129, 105-116. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.12.013
Rohrbeck R., Schwarz J.O. (2013) The value contribution of strategic foresight: Insights from an empirical study of large European companies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80(8), 1593-1606. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.01.004
Rotjanakorn A., Sadangharn P., Na-Nan K. (2020) Development of dynamic capabilities for automotive industry performance under disruptive innovation. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 6(4), 1-19. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/joitmc6040097
Rousseeuw P.J. (1987). Silhouettes: A graphical aid to the interpretation and validation of cluster analysis. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 20(C), 53-65. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-0427(87)90125-7
Ruff F. (2015) The advanced role of corporate foresight in innovation and strategic management - Reflections on practical experiences from the automotive industry. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 37-48. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.07.013
Scheiner C.W., Baccarella C.V., Bessant J., Voigt K.I. (2015) Thinking patterns and gut feeling in technology identification and evaluation. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 112-123. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.12.003
Schwartz P. (1996) The art of the long view: planning for the future in an uncertain world, New York: Doubleday. ISBN: 0-385-26732-0
Schweitzer N., Hofmann R., Meinheit A. (2019) Strategic customer foresight: From research to strategic decision-making using the example of highly automated vehicles. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 144, 49-65. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2019.04.004
Springmann M., Mason-D'Croz D., Robinson S., Wiebe K., Godfray H.C.J., Rayner M., Scarborough P. (2017) Mitigation potential and global health impacts from emissions pricing of food commodities. Nature Climate Change, 7(1), 69-74. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3155
Teece D.J. (2007) Explicating dynamic capabilities: The nature and microfoundations of (sustainable) enterprise performance. Strategic Management Journal, 28(13), 1319-1350. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.640
Van der Duin P., Heger T., Schlesinger M.D. (2014) Toward networked foresight? Exploring the use of futures research in innovation networks. Futures, 59, 62-78. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2014.01.008
Vecchiato R. (2012) Environmental uncertainty, foresight and strategic decision making: An integrated study. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(3), 436-447. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.010
Vecchiato R. (2015) Creating value through foresight: First mover advantages and strategic agility. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 101, 25-36. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.08.016
Vecchiato R., Favato G., Maddaloni F., Do H. (2020) Foresight, cognition, and long-term performance: Insights from the automotive industry and opportunities for future research. Futures & Foresight Science, 2(1), e25. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.25
Vecchiato R., Roveda C. (2010) Strategic foresight in corporate organizations: Handling the effect and response uncertainty of technology and social drivers of change. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77(9), 1527-1539. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2009.12.003
Vishnevskiy K., Karasev O., Meissner D. (2015) Integrated roadmaps and corporate foresight as tools of innovation management: The case of Russian companies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90(PB), 433-443. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.04.011
Von der Gracht H.A., Vennemann C.R., Darkow I.L. (2010) Corporate foresight and innovation management: A portfolio-approach in evaluating organizational development. Futures, 42(4), 380-393. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.023
Wiener M. (2018) Open foresight: The influence of organizational context. Creativity and Innovation Management, 27(1), 56-68. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/caim.12238
Wiener M., Boer H. (2019) Cultural prerequisites for participating in open foresight. R&D Management, 49(5), 703-715. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/radm.12363
Wiener M., Gattringer R., Strehl F. (2020) Collaborative open foresight - A new approach for inspiring discontinuous and sustainability-oriented innovations. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 155, 119370. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.07.008
Yoon J., Kim Y., Vonortas N.S., Han S.W. (2018) Corporate foresight and innovation: The effects of integrative capabilities and organisational learning. Technology Analysis and Strategic Management, 30(6), 633-645. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09537325.2017.1395407
Zhai Z., Shan M., Darko A., Chan A.P.C. (2021) Corruption in construction projects: Bibliometric analysis of global research. Sustainability, 13(8), 4400. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13084400
Zhang Q., Rong G., Meng Q., Yu M., Xie Q., Fang J. (2020) Outlining the keyword co-occurrence trends in Shuanghuanglian injection research: A bibliometric study using CiteSpace III. Journal of Traditional Chinese Medical Sciences, 7(2), 189-198. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtcms.2020.05.006
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.