Thinking in Categories of Multivariant Future
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Keywords

strategic thinking
strategic planning
strategic management

How to Cite

MinxE., & BohlkeE. (2008). Thinking in Categories of Multivariant Future. Foresight and STI Governance, 2(4), 4-8. https://doi.org/10.17323/1995-459X.2008.4.4.8

Abstract

Complex and implicit issues of utilizing scenario method in strategic planning are considered. Special emphasis is placed on a gap between future visions and related actions of politicians and business actors that prevents efficient decision-making on the national level. Authors not only reveal existing contradictions but also attempt to explain their causes and recommend solutions to overcome the problem. They propose an unconventional approach - scenario design of the future. It allows revealing relations between various complex phenomenons, comparing consequences of alternative development pathways and make better decisions. Keywords: strategic planning; strategic thinking; strategic management

https://doi.org/10.17323/1995-459X.2008.4.4.8
PDF (Русский)

References

Economist, 11.10.1930, S. 625. Цит. по: Kennedy P. In Vorbereitung auf das 21. Jahrhundert. Frankfurt a. M., 1992, S. 417.

Maull H. W. Nationale Interessen! Aber was sind sie? Auf der Suche nach Orientierungsgrundlagen fьr die deutsche Aussenpolitik / Internationale Politik, Oktober 2006, S. 62-76.

Neuhaus С. Zukunft im Management. Orientierungen fьr das Management von Ungewissheit in strategischen Prozessen. Heidelberg, 2006, S. 555.

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