Ключевые слова
научно-технологическая и инновационная политика
методология форсайта
новая технологическая стратегия
Как цитировать
Аннотация
Технологические дорожные карты традиционно рассматриваются как один из ключевых инструментов Форсайта для разработки политики в области науки, технологий и инноваций. Однако интеграция результатов Форсайт-проектов в стратегии организаций и компаний остается ограниченной. В статье предлагается метод совершенствования дорожных карт, повышающий качество и достоверность их содержания, что существенно расширит их влияние на принятие стратегических решений. Анализируются возможности использования методологии дорожных карт для учета сложных аспектов инновационной системы или отрасли при разработке стратегии развития. В модернизированных дорожных картах появляется возможность охватить в целостности колоссальный массив релевантных данных, проработать их в итеративном и гибком режиме с применением новых визуальных приемов. Обнаруживаются важные пробелы в знаниях, потенциальные источники ошибок и риски попадания в «эффект колеи», открываются возможности для своевременного осмысления возникающих технологических траекторий. Предлагаются направления дальнейших исследований для корректировки рассматриваемого подхода, обеспечения гибкости Форсайт-процессов.
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