Ловушка среднего уровня инноваций
PDF
PDF (English)

Ключевые слова

ловушка среднего дохода
ловушка среднего уровня инноваций
технологический потенциал
потенциал реализации
потенциал концептуального дизайна

Как цитировать

ЛиД.-Д., БаэкЧ., МалипхолС., & ЙеонЮ.-И. (2019). Ловушка среднего уровня инноваций. Форсайт, 13(1), 6-18. https://doi.org/10.17323/2500-2597.2019.1.6.18.

Аннотация

Стратегии формирования технологического потенциала служат эффективным механизмом преодоления ловушки среднего дохода (middle income trap). В статье рассматриваются паттерны развития двух видов технологического потенциала: потенциала реализации и потенциала концептуального  дизайна (конструирования). Они выделены и проанализированы с помощью подхода, основанного на теории эволюционной экономики и исследованиях инновационных систем. Данный подход использовался преимущественно для анализа корейской ситуации, на материале которой были прослежены различия между формированием потенциалов реализации и концептуального дизайна. Полученные результаты свидетельствуют о необходимости наращивать потенциал концептуального дизайна, что предполагает (i) постановку амбициозных задач, (ii) развитие человеческих ресурсов и аккумуляцию знаний и (iii) инкрементальное использование метода проб и ошибок с соответствующей корректировкой курса. В более широком плане речь может идти об изменении социокультурных институтов для принятия более рискованных решений и об использовании различных подходов к управлению переменами. Исследование расширяет концепцию технологического потенциала за счет выделения потенциала концептуального дизайна, который помимо собственно исследований и разработок предполагает использование метода проб и ошибок.

https://doi.org/10.17323/2500-2597.2019.1.6.18.
PDF
PDF (English)

Литература

Agénor P.-R. (2017) Caught in the Middle? The Economics of Middle-Income Traps // Journal of Economic Surveys. Vol. 31. № 3. P. 771-791.

Agénor P.-R., Canuto O. (2012) Middle Income Growth Traps. Policy Research Working Paper № 6210. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Almeida P., Phene A. (2004) Subsidiaries and Knowledge Creation: The Influence of the MNC and Host Country on Innovation // Strategic Management Journal. Vol. 25. P. 847-864.

Amable B. (2000) Institutional Complementarity and Diversity of Social Systems of Innovation and Production // Review of International Political Economy. Vol. 7. № 4. P. 645-687.

Augier M., Teece D.J. (2008) Strategy as Evolution with Design: The Foundations of Dynamic Capabilities and the Role of Managers in the Economic System // Organization Studies. Vol. 29. № 8-9. P. 1187-1208.

Bell M., Figueiredo P. (2011) Innovation capability building and learning mechanisms in latecomer firms: Recent empirical contributions and implications for research // Canadian Journal of Development Studies. Vol. 33. № 1. P. 14-40.

Bell M., Pavitt K. (1993) Technological Accumulation and Industrial Growth: Contrasts between Developed and Developing Countries // Industrial and Corporate Change. Vol. 2. № 2. P. 157-210.

Cowan R., David P.A., Foray D. (2000) The Explicit Economics of Knowledge Codification and Tacitness // Industrial and Corporate Change. Vol. 9. № 2. P. 211-253.

Dahlman C.J., Ross-Larson B., Westphal L.E. (1987) Managing technological development: Lessons from the newly industrializing countries // World Development. Vol. 15. № 6. P. 759-775.

De Marchi V., Giuliani E., Rabolletti R. (2015) Do Global Value Chains Offer Developing Countries Learning and Innovation Opportunities? // The European Journal of Development Research. Vol. 30. № 3. P. 389-407.

Dedrick J., Kraemer K.L., Linden G. (2010) Who profits from innovation in global value chains?: A study of the iPod and notebook PCs // Industrial and Corporate Change. Vol. 19. № 1. P. 81-116.

Dirks K.T., Ferrin D.L. (2001) The Role of Trust in Organisational Settings // Organisation Science. Vol. 12. № 4. P. 450-467.

Dosi G., Nelson R.R. (2010) Technical Change and Industrial Dynamics as Evolutionary Processes // Handbook of Economics of Innovation / Eds. B. Hall, N. Rosenberg. New York: Elsevier. P. 51-127.

Eichengreen B., Park D., Shin K. (2014) Growth Slowdown Redux // Japan and the World Economy. Vol. 32. № 1. P. 65-84.

Felipe J., Rhee C. (2015) Issues in Modern Industrial Policy (1): Sector Selection, Who, How, and Sector Promotion // Development and Modern Industrial Policy in Practice: Issues and Country Experiences / Ed. J. Felipe. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

Frenken K. (2006) Technological Innovation and Complexity Theory // Economics of Innovation and New Technology. Vol. 15. № 2. P. 137-155.

Fujimoto T. (1999) Reinterpreting the Resource-Capability View of the Firm: A Case of the Development-Production Systems of the Japanese Auto Makers // The Dynamic Firm: The Role of Technology, Strategy, Organization, and Regions / Eds. A.D. Chandler, P. Hagstrom, O. Solvell. Oxford: Oxford University Press. P. 15-44.

Geels F. (2005) Processes and patterns in transitions and system innovations: Refining the co-evolutionary multi-level perspective // Technological Forecasting & Social Change. Vol. 72. P. 681-696.

Gereffi G., Humphrey J., Sturgeon T. (2005) The governance of global value chains // Review of International Political Economy. Vol. 12. № 1. P. 78-104.

Gerschenkron A. (1962) Economic Backwardness in Historical Perspective. Boston, MA: Harvard University Press.

Gill I., Kharas H. (2007) An East Asian Renaissance: Ideas for Economic Growth. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Harrison L.E., Huntington S.P. (2000) Culture Matters. New York: Basic Books.

Hirsch-Kreinsen H., Jacobson D., Robertson P.L. (2006) ‘Low-tech' Industries: Innovativeness and Development Perspectives - A Summary of a European Research Project // Prometheus. Vol. 24. № 1. P. 3-21.

Hummels D., Ishii J., Yi K.-M. (2001) The Nature and Growth of Vertical Specialization in World Trade // Journal of International Economics. Vol. 54. № 1. P. 75-96.

Jovanovic B., Nyarko Y. (1996) Learning by Doing and the Choice of Technology // Econometrica. Vol. 64. № 6. P. 1299-1310.

Kang B., Nabeshima K., Cheng F.T. (2015) Avoiding the Middle Income Trap: Indigenous Innovative Effort vs Foreign Innovative Effort. IDE Disucssion Paper № 509. Tokyo: JETRO.

Kim L. (1997) Imitation to Innovation: The Dynamics of Korea’s Technological Learning. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press.

Kim L., Dahlman C.J. (1992) Technology Policy for Industrialization: An Integrative Framework and Korea's Experience // Research Policy. Vol. 21. № 5. P. 437-452.

Lall S. (2000) Technological Change and Industrialization in the Asian Newly Industrializing Economies: Achievements and Challenges // Technology, Learning and Innovation: Experiences of Newly Industrializing Economies / Eds. L. Kim, R.R. Nelson. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. P. 13-69.

Lee F., Edmonson A.C., Thomke S., Worline M. (2004) The Mixed Effects of Inconsistency on Experimentation in Organizations // Organization Science. Vol. 21. № 3. P. 310-326.

Lee J.D., Baek C. (2012) The Industrial and Technology Policies of Korea from the Perspective of design Principles // Asian Journal of Technology Innovation. Vol. 20. № 1. P. 97-112.

Lee K. (2005) Making a Technological Catch-up: Barriers and Opportunities // Asian Journal of Technology Innovation. Vol. 13. № 2. P. 97-131.

Lee K. (2015) Capability Building and Industrial Diversification // Development and Modern Industrial Policy in Practice: Issues and Country Experience / Ed. J. Felipe. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. P. 70-94.

Lewis W.A. (1954) Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labor // Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies Bulletin. Vol. 22. P. 139-191. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.1954.tb00021.x

Lundvall B.-A. (1992) National Systems of Innovation: Towards a Theory of Innovation and Interactive Learning. London: Pinter Publishers.

Martin B.R. (1995) Foresight in Science and Technology // Technology Analysis and Strategic Management. Vol. 7. № 2. P. 139-168.

Matthews J.A. (2002) Competitive Advantages of the Latecomer Firm: A Resource-Based Account of Industrial Catch-Up Strategies // Asia Pacific Journal of Management. Vol. 19. P. 467-488.

Mazzucato M. (2011) The Entrepreneurial State: Debunking Public vs. Private Sector Myths. London: Anthem Press.

Mehta A., Felipe J. (2014) Education and the Journey to the Core: Path-Dependence or Leapfrogging. ADB Economics Working Paper Series № 395. Manila: Asian Development Bank.

Nahm J., Steinfeld E.S. (2014) The Role of Innovative Manufacturing in High-Tech Product Development: Evidence from China's Renewable Energy Sector // Production in the Innovation Economy / Eds. R.M. Locke, R.L. Wellhausen. Boston, MA: MIT Press. P. 139-174.

Nelson R. (ed.) (1993) National Innovation Systems - A Comparative Analysis. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Pietrobelli C., Puppato F. (2015) Technology Foresight and Industrial Strategy // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Vol. 110. № 1. P. 117-125.

Pisano G.P., Shih W.C. (2012) Producing Prosperity: Why America Needs a Manufacturing Renaissance. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press.

Radosevic S. (1999) International Technology Transfer and ‘Catch Up’ in Economic Development. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.

Rodrik D., Subramanian A., Trebbi A. (2002) Institutions Rule: The Primacy of Institutions over Geography and Integration in Economic Development. NBER Working Paper № 9305. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research.

Stiglitz J.E., Greenwald B.C. (2014) Creating a Learning Society: A New Approach to Growth, Development, and Social Progress. New York: Columbia University Press.

Stiglitz J.E., Lin J.Y., Monga C. (2013) The Rejuvenation of Industrial Policy. Policy Research Working Paper № 6628. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Thomke S., von Hippel E., Franke R. (1998) Modes of Experimentation: An Innovation Process - And Competitive - Variable // Research Policy. Vol. 27. P. 315-332.

Vivarelli M. (2016) The middle income trap: A way out based on technological and structural change // Economic Change and Restructuring. Vol. 49. № 2-3. P. 159-193.

World Bank (2012) China 2030: Building a Modern, Harmonious, and Creative High-Income Society. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

World Bank (2014) World Development Indicators 2014. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.

Zollo M., Winter S. (2002) Deliberate Learning and the Evolution of Dynamic Capabilities // Organization Science. Vol. 13. № 3. P. 339-351.

Лицензия Creative Commons

Это произведение доступно по лицензии Creative Commons «Attribution» («Атрибуция») 4.0 Всемирная.

Скачивания

Данные скачивания пока не доступны.