Футурограмотность: развитие навыков работы с будущим
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Ключевые слова

навыки работы с будущим
динамические способности
оценка компетенций
стратегическое мышление
исследования будущего
инновационное мышление
Форсайт
сценарное планирование

Как цитировать

Гутарра РомероР., Валенте МеркадоА. Г., & Рамирес СиргоЛ. (2025). Футурограмотность: развитие навыков работы с будущим. Форсайт, 19(2), 86-97. https://doi.org/10.17323/fstig.2025.23756

Аннотация

Тема динамических способностей (dynamic capabilities) за последние годы приобрела новое звучание. Как и другие компетенции высшего порядка, такие способности обеспечивают постоянное обновление знаний, гибкую рекомбинацию ресурсов, адаптацию к быстро меняющейся среде. Их ключевым элементом выступает работа с будущим, начиная с базовых навыков грамотности в отношении будущего — futures literacy (FL). Поскольку данная компетенция служит основополагающей для кадрового потенциала организаций, целесообразно начинать ее развитие уже в рамках университетских программ. Удовлетворению этой насущной потребности длительное время препятствовало отсутствие объективных инструментов, позволяющих измерять степень освоения FL. Авторы статьи восполняют описанный пробел, предлагая инновационный подход к выявлению и стандартизации оценки компетенции FL. В работе представлены шесть теоретических аспектов FL в качестве основы для группировки соответствующих метрик, выставления итоговых оценок и их интерпретации. Эти аспекты — субкомпетенции «предвидение», «оценка будущих сценариев» и «принятие решений в условиях неопределенности» — могут быть описаны независимо друг от друга. Возможность измерять исходный уровень FL позволит разрабатывать более эффективные образовательные программы по культивированию данной компетенции.

https://doi.org/10.17323/fstig.2025.23756
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