ISSN 1995-459X print E-ISSN 2312-9972 online ISSN 2500-2597 online English
Editor-in-chief Leonid Gokhberg
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2010. vol. 4. No. 1
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Strategies
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4–18
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Today both on the national and business levels the efforts are being made to tackle two different issues: implementation of anti-crisis measures and forming the ground for a policy aimed at changing technological profile of the Russian economy. Building long-term scenarios of economic development becomes the most challenging task. The paper investigates three possible trajectories of development, based on the standard methods of economic analysis and R&D forecasting as well as unique approaches and models. The authors describe conditions and liable results of the most promising — innovation-based — scenario and characterize factors which make alternative prognoses relevant. |
Strategies
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20–36
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Policymakers responsible for improving the skill base needed for future economic development must assess the implications of radical technological change in the future. The example selected here is in nanoscience and nanotechnology. The objective of this paper is to demonstrate the importance of using more than one scenario of long term development when assessing such a complex issue as technology development and the demand for skills. Scenario forecasting is appropriately based on assessing plausible alternatives combined with horizon-scanning and determination of “weak signals”. This procedure will provide early warning about how far the key elements of various scenarios become manifest and those with maximum influence on emerging trends. This procedural approach for forecasting future skills needs in a particular technology is to estimate short-term and medium-term prospects for its development from concrete scenarios. Nanotechnology, the paper shows, due to its relative infancy, its composition of numerous lines of knowledge development, and the many contested claims about the scope and speed of its evolution, poses particular challenges. The paper assesses how confident we can be about skill and employment projections related to nanoindustries – and industrial applications of nanotechnology, i.e. in medicine; chemistry and the environment; energy; information and communication; heavy industry; and consumer goods. It proposes ways in which to provide more policy-relevant intelligence. Future skills forecasts, it argues, can be shaped using familiar ideas from innovation research - about technological paradigms and trajectories, and about diffusion and industry life-cycles. Requirements for skills will vary depending on how revolutionary nanotechnologies will be. Will innovation essentially extend existing nanoengineering techniques or embody more radical visions of molecular engineering and “bottom up” nanotechnologies? Responses to these questions can be derived from expert-based alternative scenarios. |
Innovation and Economy
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38–52
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Сontemporary innovation policies are based mostly on the results of statistical and sociological studies for companies and expert surveys. However, the problem of motivating innovation activity is unlikely to be solved without taking into consideration the peculiarities of people’s attitude to science, technology and education, which can be identified as areas which provide a basis for innovative development. The author analyses the views of general public about technologies, competitiveness, prestige of S&T occupations, allied government policies and prospects of innovation. The results of representational studies of public awareness of S&T and Innovation implemented in Russia and elsewhere were used to perform this analysis. |
Innovation and Economy
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54–59
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In the course of development, firms aim to internationalize in order to broaden their influence and enhance their opportunities. There are risks, however, in internationalization. This paper focuses on risks relating to cultural differences, which can affect a firm’s reputation when entering foreign markets. The specifics of markets can require perception of socio-cultural differences. A firm’s global image must be defined at headquarters, but the communication strategies should be defined by its local offices. Andreas Siegert explains the complexity of the process by which the culture of the country of origin affects worldview and behavioral patterns that can become problematical, or raise risks, in relations between representatives of the two different cultures. The general components of national culture—religion, ethical norms and traditions—evolve slowly within definite parameters. Misunderstandings between culture at headquarters and culture in the country where the branch is located can embrace legal awareness, interpretation of contracts, and perceptions of product quality. The paper uses for a case study Russo-German corporate relations. It reviews aspects of national character in both countries, patterns of negotiation, the perception of details of co-operation, and organizational etiquette. Russia is an important market for German firms, and therefore, consideration of cultural diversity will entail unique business-strategies. The paper uses examples of German employees, recruited only for their skills and experience, that is, neglecting their understanding of Russian norms and traditions, who can fail to communicate well. The paper advances the solution in the creation of an international team aimed to develop a cooperative climate that will transcend distinctive frameworks of existing cultural practices. There is abundant evidence that international teams perform well when identifying problems and seeking out innovative solutions. |
Science
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60–63
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The problem of Learned Societies’ contribution in the international capacity building process and the engagement of societies from developing countries into it arises much concern nowadays. Thus the overview of contemporary UK Learned Societies’ initiatives aimed at strengthening scientists’ role in this process was recently made in the UK. It embraces historical background of informal scientific networks’ emergence and their participation in the S&T development on the national and global levels. The author therefore proposes a number of steps that should help to build strong relationships between Learned Societies and various funding bodies including governments. |
Trends
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64–73
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The research continues the series devoted to the study of knowledge-intensive services (KIS) in Russia. The last but not the least round of it conducted in 2009 was dedicated to the trends provoked by the global economic crisis. Sales and employment in KIS sector decreased moderately, but the strategic vision of its actors was distorted. KIS producers reduced their strategic horizon to short run, and lost distinct dominating strategy. Current strategies are distinguished by the level of product diversification. Standard (“box”) services are supplied to inexperienced users. Partially customised services form the essence of a damping strategy aimed at more experienced users. Tailored (bespoke) services are the core of innovative strategy: its target group consists of competent consumers who recognise and appreciate KIS as product innovations. |
Master Class
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74–81
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Foresight exercises have become common in many countries and regions. Although the concept of Foresight has been widely discussed within the academic community and among practitioners, it still remains rather unclear which activities are necessary before such a study is launched, and which instruments and tools are most suitable to meet the challenges of predicting the future. The article explores Foresight studies implemented on a national level in OECD and European Research Area (ERA) countries, in order to identify the necessary initial steps to be taken and tasks to be fulfilled prior launching Foresight projects. |
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