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Journal of the National Research University Higher School of Economics

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SSN 1995-459X print
E-ISSN 2312-9972 online
ISSN 2500-2597 online English

Editor-in-chief
Leonid Gokhberg

   




Guillermo Velasco 1,2, Rafael Popper 2,3,4, Ian Miles 2,5
  • 1 Polytechnic University of Madrid, 28040 Madrid, Spain
  • 2 University of Manchester, Oxford Rd, Manchester M13 9PL, UK
  • 3 Futures Diamond Ltd., Raise Chartered Accountants Trimble House, 9 Bold Street Warrington, WA1 1DN Manchester, United Kingdom
  • 4 VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd., P.O. Box 1000, FI-02044 VTT, Finland
  • 5 National Research University Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya Str., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation

Repositioning People in Creative Futures: A Method to Create Sound Advice with Exploratory Scenarios

2021. Vol. 15. No. 2. P. 25–38 [issue contents]
Foresight scenarios are not only useful presentational devices to show that many aspects of the future are open. Scenarios are means for generating advice that helps policymakers initiate actions in the present or near future that will be of long-term significance. Despite the influence that such advice may have on policy decisions, the Foresight literature has paid very little attention to the creation of policy recommendations. Though reports of scenario exercises frequently conclude with lists of recommendations that follow from the study, there is very little explication of the process whereby advice is elicited from the examination of these future scenarios. This paper addresses this gap, examining how the generation of recommendations is related to the development of scenarios within multiple future repositioning workshop settings. It focuses on the fluency and originality of these recommendations, and how this is influenced by repositioning participants in highly transformational scenarios. Repositioning is the process whereby participants are invited to imagine themselves playing roles in hypothetical future contexts, and on that basis to make decisions or devise strategies as if they actually were immersed in these circumstances. The method proposed and the findings of the case study have implications for why and how this future repositioning approach can be incorporated as a ‘key feature’ in the design of Foresight activities. The aim is also to raise awareness of the need for more exploration of Foresight recommendation methodology.
Citation: Velasco G., Popper R., Miles I. (2021) Repositioning People in Creative Futures: A Method to Create Sound Advice with Exploratory Scenarios. Foresight and STI Governance, 15(2), 25–38. DOI: 10.17323/2500-2597.2021.2.25.38
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