Journal of the National Research University Higher School of Economics




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ISSN 1995-459X print
E-ISSN 2312-9972 online
ISSN 2500-2597 online English

Leonid Gokhberg


Cristian-Germán Hernández1, Fernando Barragán-Ochoa2, Joshua Hurtado-Hurtado3
  • 1 Universidad de Guayaquil, Av. Kennedy and Av. Delta. 090514, Guayaquil, Ecuador
  • 2 Instituto de Altos Estudios Nacionales, , Av. Amazonas N37-271 and Av. Villalengua. Quito, Ecuador
  • 3 University of Helsinki, Taloustieteen osasto PL 27, 00014, Helsinki, Finland

Innovation Scenarios for Ecuadorian Agrifood Network

2023. Vol. 17. No. 1. P. 67–79 [issue contents]

The purpose of this study is to explore plausible scenarios and identify the desired scenario for the agrifood beef network in Santo Domingo, Ecuador until 2035. A methodological approach based on the processes of participation and collective reflection is proposed, which integrates methods from the French School of Prospective and The Futures Triangle V. 2.0. Four plausible scenarios were developed for the object of study: Innovate Against the Tide, National Pioneers, Obsolescent Gait, and Missed Opportunity. Of these, National Pioneers was deemed the desired scenario, because it integrates high innovation in the beef agrifood network with favorable environmental conditions. This study contributes to anticipating the evolution of Santo Domingo’s innovation in the agrifood network, which can promote a favorable trajectory for the province’s sustainable development.


Hernández C.G., Barragán-Ochoa F., Hurtado-Hurtado J. (2023) Innovation Scenarios for Ecuadorian Agrifood Network. Foresight and STI Governance, 17(1), 67–79. DOI: 10.17323/2500-2597.2023.1.67.79

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