Ключевые слова
оптимизация проектных портфелей
кооперационные сети
технологический Форсайт
программы исследований и разработок
робастное портфельное моделирование
создание сетей
Как цитировать
Аннотация
Многокритериальная оценка перспективных исследовательских тем в рамках Форсайт-проектов способствует значительному повышению качества планирования государственных научных программ. Вместе с тем, инструменты формирования коллаборативных сетей для их осуществления практически не разработаны. В статье представлена методология робастного портфельного моделирования сетей (RPM-Networking), позволяющая одновременно определить приоритеты ИиР, выявить и объединить потенциальных участников сетей. Использование метода проиллюстрировано на примере подготовки программы исследований и разработок в рамках международной сети WoodWisdom-Net.
Литература
Arranz N., Fernández de Arroyabe J.C. (2006) Joint R&D projects: experiences in the context of European technology policy // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Vol. 73. № 7. Р. 860-885.
Barré R. (2002) Synthesis of Technology Foresight / Tübke A.A., Ducatel K., Gavigan J., Moncada P. (eds.). Strategic Policy Intelligence: Current Trends, the State of Play and Perspectives. Technical Report EUR-20137-EN. Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS). Seville.
Brummer V., Könnölä T., Salo A. (2008) Foresight within ERA-NETs: experiences from the preparation of an international research program // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Vol. 75. № 4. P. 483-495.
Camarinha-Matos L.M., Afsarmanesh H. (2003) Elements of a base VE infrastructure // Computers in Industry. Vol. 51. P. 139-163.
Camarinha-Matos L.M., Afsarmanesh H. (2005) Collaborative networks: a new scientific discipline // Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing. Vol. 16. № 4-5. P. 439-452.
Camarinha-Matos L.M., Afsarmanesh H. (2007) Results assessment and impact creation in collaborative research - an example from the ECOLEAD project // Technovation. Vol. 27. № 1-2. P. 65-77.
Chataway J., Webster A., Wield D. (1999) Introduction: technologies in transition // Technovation. Vol. 19. № 6-7. Р. 339-344.
Clark J., Guy K. (1998) Innovation and competitiveness: a review // Technology Analysis and Strategic Management. Vol. 10. № 3. P. 363-395.
European Commission (2003) Innovation Policy: Updating the Union's Approach in the Context of the Lisbon Strategy. European Commission COM112 Final. http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/innovation/communication/doc/innovation_comm_en.pdf.
Fritsch M., Lucas R. (1999) Who cooperates on R&D? // Research Policy. Vol. 30. Р. 297-312.
Hellström T., Eckerstein J., Helm A. (2001) R&D management through network mapping: using the internet to identify strategic network actors in cooperative research networks // R&D Management. Vol. 31. № 3. P. 257-263.
Henriksen A.D., Traynor A.J. (1999) A practical R&D project-selection scoring tool // IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management. Vol. 46. № 2. P. 158-170.
Irvine J., Martin B.R. (1984) Foresight in Science, Picking the Winners. London: Dover.
Jewell T. (2003) International foresight's contribution to globalization // Foresight - The Journal of Futures Studies, Strategic Thinking and Policy. Vol. 5. № 2. P. 46-53.
Kauffman A., Tödtling F. (2001) Science-industry interaction in the process of innovation: the importance of boundary-crossing between systems // Research Policy. Vol. 30. P. 791-804.
Keiser R., Prange H. (2004) The reconfiguration of national innovation systems - the example of German biotechnology // Research Policy. Vol. 33. P. 395-408.
Klaassen G., Miketa A., Larsen K., Sundqvist T. (2005) The impact of R&D on innovation for wind energy in Denmark, Germany and the United Kingdom // Ecological Economics. Vol. 54. P. 227-240.
Koschatzky K., Sternberg R. (2000) R&D cooperation in innovation systems - some lessons from the European regional innovation survey // European Planning Studies. Vol. 8. № 4. P. 487-501.
Kuhlmann S., Edler J. (2003) Scenarios of technology and innovation policies in Europe: investigating future governance // Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Vol. 70. P. 619-637.
Könnölä T., Unruh G.C., Carrillo-Hermosilla J. (2006) Prospective voluntary agreements for escaping techno-institutional lock-in // Ecological Economics. Vol. 57. № 2. P. 239-252.
Lau C.W.L., Wong E.T.T. (2001) Partner selection and information infrastructure of a virtual enterprise network // International Journal of Computer Integrated Manufacturing. Vol. 14. № 2. P. 186-193.
Liang S-K., Yuan B., Chow L.R. (1999) A decision model linkage between technology forecasting, technology dominance and technology strategy // International Journal of Technology Management. Vol. 18. № 1-2. P. 46-55.
Liesiö J., Mild P., Salo A. (2007) Preference programming for Robust Portfolio Modeling and project selection // European Journal of Operational Research. Vol. 181. № 3. P. 1488-1505.
Liesiö J., Mild P., Salo A. (2008) Robust Portfolio Modeling with incomplete cost information and project interdependencies // European Journal of Operational Research. Vol. 191. № 3. P. 679-695.
Lindstedt M., Liesiö J., Salo A. (2008) Participatory development of a strategic product portfolio in a telecommunication company // International Journal of Technology Management. Vol. 42. № 3. P. 250-266.
Love J.H., Roper S. (2001) Location and network effects on innovation success: evidence for UK, German and Irish manufacturing plants // Research Policy. Vol. 30. P. 643-661.
Oral M., Kettani O., Lang P. (1991) A methodology for collective evaluation and selection of industrial R&D projects // Management Science. Vol. 37. № 7. Р. 871-885.
Pochet P. (2005) The open method of co-ordination and the construction of social Europe: a historical perspective / Zeitlin J., Pochet P. (eds.). The Open Method of Coordination in Action. The European Employment and Social Inclusion Strategies. Brussels: PIE-Peter Lang.
Poh K.L., Ang B.W., Bai F. (2001) A comparative analysis of R&D project evaluation methods // R&D Management. Vol. 31. № 1. P. 63-75.
Prange H. (2003) Technology and innovation policiers in the European system of multi-level governance // Techikfolgenabschätzung - Theorie und Praxis. Vol. 12. № 2. P. 11-20.
Saaty T.L. (1980) The Analytic Hierarchy Process. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Salmenkaita J.-P., Salo A. (2002) Rationales for government intervention in the commercialisation of new technologies // Technology Analysis and Strategic Management. Vol. 14. № 2. P. 183-200.
Salo A., Gustafsson T., Ramanathan R. (2003) Multicriteria methods for technology foresight // Journal of Forecasting. Vol. 22. № 2-3. P. 235-255.
Salo A., Könnölä T., Hjelt M. (2004) Responsiveness in foresight management: reflections from the finnish food and drink industry // International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy. Vol. 1. № 1. Р. 70-88.
Salo A., Liesiö J. (2006) A case study in participatory priority-setting for a Scandinavian research program // International Journal of Information Technology and Decision Making. Vol. 5. № 1. P. 65-88.
Salo A., Punkka A. (2005) Rank inclusion in criteria hierarchies // European Journal of Operational Research. Vol. 163. № 2. P. 338-356.
Salo A., Salmenkaita J.-P. (2002) Embedded foresight in RTD programmes // International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management. Vol. 2. № 2. P. 167-193.
Stewart T.J. (1991) A multi-criteria decision support system for R&D project selection // Journal of the Operational Research Society. Vol. 42. № 1. P. 17-26.
Tian Q., Ma J., Liang J., Kwok R.C.W., Liu O. (2005) An organisational decision support system for effective R&D project selection // Decision Support Systems. Vol. 39. № 3. P. 403-413.
Webster A. (1999) Technologies in transition, policies in transition: foresight in the risk society // Technovation. Vol. 19. № 6. P. 413-421.
Бруммер В., Коннола Т., Сало А. (2010a) Многообразие в Форсайт-исследованиях: практика отбора инновационных идей // Форсайт. Т. 4. № 4. С. 56-68.
Бруммер В., Коннола Т., Сало А. (2010б) Разработка национальных приоритетов для технологической платформы лесного сектора // Форсайт. Т. 4. № 2. С. 44-56.
Это произведение доступно по лицензии Creative Commons «Attribution» («Атрибуция») 4.0 Всемирная.