Abstract
To coincide with the recent official publication of the results of the Russian Technology Foresight Programme, this paper provides a brief overview of international experiences in national technology foresight. The author demonstrates the foresight practice growing popularity both on the international level and within certain states, describes different rationales that justify the use of foresight, highlighting their shift away from an original R&D priority-setting focus towards a more process-oriented focus that emphasises dialogue and networking between different actors in national systems of innovation. The methodological approaches used in different countries are compared, suggesting a possible link between method preferences and political and institutional cultures. Factors are also considered that complicate the evaluation of foresight researches, and perspectives of their further development are briefly analyzed.
References
Barrй R., Keenan M. Revisiting the Rationales for Future-Oriented Technology Analysis / Cagnin C., Keenan M., Johnston R., Scapolo F., Barrй R. (eds.) Future-Oriented Technology Analysis: Strategic Intelligence for an Innovative Economy. Heidelberg: Springer, 2008.
Clar G., Acheson H., Hafner-Zimmermann S., Sautter B., Buczek M., Allan J. Strategic Policy Intelligence Tools. Enabling Better RTDI Policy-Making in Europe's Regions. Stuttgart: Steinbeis-Edition, 2008.
Cuhls K. Foresight in Germany / Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008.
Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008.
Georghiou L., Keenan M., Miles I. Assessing the Impact of the UK's Evolving National Foresight Programme // International Journal of Technology Management. 2009 (forthcoming).
Havas A., Keenan M. Foresight in the Countries of Central and Eastern Europe / Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008.
Johnston R., Sripaipan C. Foresight in Industrialising Asia / Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008.
Keenan M., Miles I. Foresight in the UK / Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008.
Keenan M., Miles I. Scoping and Planning Foresight / Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008.
Keenan M., Popper R. Comparing Foresight 'Style' in Six World Regions // Foresight, 2008, v. 10, № 6.
Kuhlmann S. et al. Distributed Intelligence in Complex Innovation Systems / Final report of the Advanced Science and Technology Policy Planning Network (ASTPP). Karlsruhe, 1999.
Miles I., Cassingena Harper J., Georghiou L., Keenan M., Popper R. New Frontiers: Emerging Foresight / Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008b.
Miles I., Cassingena Harper J., Georghiou L., Keenan M., Popper R. The Many Faces of Foresight / Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008a.
Popper R. Foresight Methodology / Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008.
Popper R., Medina J. Foresight in Latin America / Georghiou L., Cassingena Harper J., Keenan M., Miles I., Popper R. (eds.). The Handbook of Technology Foresight. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar, 2008.
Saritas O. Systems Thinking for Foresight / PhD thesis submitted to the University of Manchester. 2006.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.