@ARTICLE{26543116_26558036_2010, 
	author = {Dmitry Belousov and Kirill Mikhailenko and Alexander Apokin}, 
	keywords = {, foresightscenarios for Russia's development},
	title = {Key Parameters of Russia's Long-Term Economic Development: A Scenario Analysis},
	journal = {Foresight and STI Governance},
	year = {2010},
	volume = {4},
	number = {1},
	pages = {4-18},
	url = {https://foresight-journal.hse.ru/en/2010-4-1/26558036.html},
	publisher = {},
	abstract = {Today both on the national and business levels the efforts are being made to tackle two different issues: implementation of anti-crisis measures and forming the ground for a policy aimed at changing technological profile of the Russian economy. Building long-term scenarios of economic development becomes the most challenging task. The paper investigates three possible trajectories of development, based on the standard methods of economic analysis and R&D forecasting as well as unique approaches and models. The authors describe conditions and liable results of the most promising — innovation-based — scenario and characterize factors which make alternative prognoses relevant.},
	annote = {Today both on the national and business levels the efforts are being made to tackle two different issues: implementation of anti-crisis measures and forming the ground for a policy aimed at changing technological profile of the Russian economy. Building long-term scenarios of economic development becomes the most challenging task. The paper investigates three possible trajectories of development, based on the standard methods of economic analysis and R&D forecasting as well as unique approaches and models. The authors describe conditions and liable results of the most promising — innovation-based — scenario and characterize factors which make alternative prognoses relevant.}
}